Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1087 | 40% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 1209 | 28% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1191 | 44% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 1226 | 40% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 1119 | 52% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1153 | 49% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1120.6 vs 1126.4 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).