Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1083 | 47% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 1218 | 29% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1223 | 20% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1063 | 47% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1118 | 48% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1132 | 35% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.8 vs 1089.6 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).