Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (18 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1197 | 1327 | 32% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
975 | 1008 | 45% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
856 | 948 | 37% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1307 | 1058 | 81% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
1103 | 984 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
981 | 959 | 53% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
925 | 961 | 45% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
1047 | 1097 | 43% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
974 | 1105 | 32% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
816 | 1181 | 11% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1127 | 1135 | 49% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1135 | 1008 | 68% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
1059 | 1108 | 43% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1087 | 1138 | 43% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1083 | 963 | 67% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1077.7 has a 45.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).