Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (21 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1207 | 42% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1131 | 34% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1063 | 38% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 858 | 1011 | 29% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1026 | 85% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1022 | 927 | 63% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 966 | 73% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1099 | 34% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1122 | 49% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1125 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 1057 | 60% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1183 | 46% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1065 | 62% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1124 | 40% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1070 | 47% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 958 | 60% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 989 | 1103 | 34% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.7 vs 1076.7 has a 49.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).