Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (19 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1141 | 1264 | 33% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
748 | 1132 | 10% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
976 | 1058 | 38% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
853 | 998 | 30% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1310 | 1026 | 84% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
1007 | 993 | 52% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
1189 | 962 | 79% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
1077 | 1098 | 47% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
974 | 1099 | 33% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
1151 | 1121 | 54% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
1126 | 1125 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1121 | 1058 | 59% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1132 | 1058 | 60% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
1080 | 1106 | 46% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
988 | 1125 | 31% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1041 | 963 | 61% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
990 | 1131 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1080.2 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).