A Hasty Farewell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslav): 23
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 1045 | 73% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 980 | 1088 | 35% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 977 | 65% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1121 | 42% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1045 | 1274 | 21% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2014-02-27 | Won |
| 1223 | 1065 | 71% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1211 | 1140 | 60% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1228 | 28% | 2013-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1101.3 vs 1095.6 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).