A Hasty Farewell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslav): 21
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 1052 | 72% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 1099 | 980 | 66% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1120 | 38% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1329 | 15% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2014-02-27 | Won |
| 1124 | 1036 | 62% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1206 | 1152 | 58% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2013-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1100.3 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).