Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (18 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 48
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 1027 | 40% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1042 | 30% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1027 | 51% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1167 | 1011 | 71% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1125 | 46% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 961 | 1134 | 27% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1168 | 1126 | 56% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 954 | 75% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1212 | 40% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1097 | 1126 | 46% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 1215 | 1107 | 65% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1217 | 21% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2014-07-23 | Won |
| 818 | 965 | 30% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1195 | 1027 | 72% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1074.3 vs 1085.7 has a 48.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).