Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (14 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1042 | 38% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1033 | 992 | 56% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1083 | 26% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 945 | 59% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1161 | 51% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 909 | 1079 | 27% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 941 | 1136 | 25% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1136 | 46% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1093 | 35% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 820 | 992 | 27% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1183 | 1042 | 69% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1006.6 vs 1068.1 has a 41.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).