Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (15 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 43
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 979 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1086 | 25% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 945 | 62% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1079 | 33% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 940 | 1154 | 23% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1154 | 44% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1094 | 35% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 820 | 960 | 31% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1181 | 979 | 76% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1018.7 vs 1054.5 has a 44.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).