City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (18 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 883 | 50% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 966 | 1087 | 33% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 938 | 69% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 883 | 1053 | 27% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1233 | 24% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 1203 | 25% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 926 | 1031 | 35% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1161 | 1147 | 52% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1302 | 1000 | 85% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1080 | 1042 | 55% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1072.3 has a 46.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).