City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (19 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1024 | 49% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 964 | 908 | 58% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1196 | 1014 | 74% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1051 | 1050 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 908 | 1073 | 28% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1044 | 54% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1037 | 1256 | 22% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1037 | 78% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 897 | 1024 | 32% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1123 | 1138 | 48% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1333 | 1000 | 87% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1084 | 1112 | 46% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1030 | 1104 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1080.9 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).