City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (19 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1273 | 1017 | 81% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 886 | 856 | 54% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 993 | 1087 | 37% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1080 | 1050 | 54% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 970 | 64% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 856 | 1073 | 22% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 1264 | 19% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1016 | 81% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 922 | 1010 | 38% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1141 | 47% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1310 | 1000 | 86% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1067 | 1128 | 41% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 1131 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1075.5 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).