City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1065 | 43% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 991 | 940 | 57% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1199 | 1060 | 69% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 956 | 1102 | 30% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 940 | 1082 | 31% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1120 | 997 | 67% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1128 | 1143 | 48% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 986 | 1220 | 21% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1220 | 986 | 79% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 900 | 1023 | 33% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1142 | 48% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1239 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1110 | 1042 | 60% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1017 | 1095 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1078.7 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).