Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1032 | 65% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 985 | 1051 | 41% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 1110 | 32% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 988 | 69% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 989 | 908 | 61% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1218 | 979 | 80% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1015 | 53% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 939 | 66% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 891 | 1117 | 21% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1047.3 has a 49.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).