Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1099 | 43% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1124 | 1059 | 59% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 877 | 973 | 37% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1128 | 43% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 943 | 1018 | 39% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1085 | 36% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 1096 | 35% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1024 | 914 | 65% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 940 | 907 | 55% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 995 | 50% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1015 | 52% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1117 | 907 | 77% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 899 | 914 | 48% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1004.2 vs 1008.5 has a 49.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).