Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1058 | 69% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 1047 | 46% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1138 | 43% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1139 | 29% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 901 | 1205 | 15% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 901 | 1205 | 15% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1165 | 944 | 78% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 901 | 83% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1015 | 50% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1057 | 927 | 68% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 889 | 1022 | 32% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1058.8 has a 47.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).