Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1014 | 69% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1082 | 44% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 919 | 1051 | 32% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1147 | 28% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 988 | 67% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1166 | 986 | 74% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1015 | 50% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 925 | 68% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 889 | 1058 | 27% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1065 has a 47.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).