Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 1057 | 65% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1133 | 37% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1105 | 52% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 973 | 1153 | 26% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1020 | 1132 | 34% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1132 | 34% | 2016-02-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 988 | 66% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1169 | 1020 | 70% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1020 | 73% | 2015-06-21 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1015 | 50% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1057 | 939 | 66% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 890 | 1060 | 27% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1061.9 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).