The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1094 | 59% | 2023-11-10 | Tied |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1027 | 55% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1162 | 1176 | 48% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 964 | 1039 | 39% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2015-03-01 | Won |
| 1413 | 968 | 93% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1156.4 vs 1095 has a 58.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).