The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1094 | 58% | 2023-11-10 | Tied |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 986 | 50% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1137 | 1175 | 45% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 966 | 1043 | 39% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2015-03-01 | Won |
| 1407 | 970 | 93% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1148.6 vs 1093.3 has a 57.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).