The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1095 | 61% | 2023-11-10 | Tied |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1182 | 38% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 981 | 1039 | 42% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 805 | 92% | 2015-03-01 | Won |
| 1419 | 970 | 93% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1160.1 vs 1073.4 has a 62.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).