Galician Persuasion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (17 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1070 | 56% | 2026-03-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 1039 | 65% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1251 | 1227 | 53% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1076 | 1044 | 55% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-07-15 | Lost |
| 907 | 1152 | 20% | 2020-02-23 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1077 | 59% | 2019-09-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 1079 | 59% | 2019-07-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2019-02-20 | Lost |
| 968 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1263 | 33% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2018-05-18 | Won |
| 1181 | 1028 | 71% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2016-09-07 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1227 | 43% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1092 | 62% | 2015-04-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1097.4 vs 1096.8 has a 50.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).