Galician Persuasion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (16 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 32
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2026-03-07 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1063 | 55% | 2024-08-08 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1224 | 22% | 2022-09-04 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-11-28 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1031 | 19% | 2020-07-15 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1152 | 20% | 2020-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1078 | 59% | 2019-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2019-07-24 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2019-02-20 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1141 | 27% | 2018-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2018-05-18 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1029 | 72% | 2017-06-24 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2016-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1224 | 22% | 2015-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-11-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1092.7 has a 44.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).