Galician Persuasion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (17 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1097 | 59% | 2026-03-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1251 | 1220 | 54% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1189 | 1044 | 70% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-07-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 1094 | 30% | 2020-02-23 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1018 | 67% | 2019-09-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 1063 | 61% | 2019-07-24 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2019-02-20 | Lost |
| 968 | 1141 | 27% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1263 | 33% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 1041 | 45% | 2018-05-18 | Won |
| 1183 | 1029 | 71% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2016-09-07 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1220 | 43% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1172 | 964 | 77% | 2015-04-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1107.6 vs 1082.5 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).