Galician Persuasion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (17 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1098 | 59% | 2026-03-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1251 | 1220 | 54% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1162 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-07-15 | Lost |
| 927 | 1095 | 28% | 2020-02-23 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1019 | 67% | 2019-09-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 1064 | 61% | 2019-07-24 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2019-02-20 | Lost |
| 969 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1264 | 33% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1023 | 1041 | 47% | 2018-05-18 | Won |
| 1191 | 1028 | 72% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2016-09-07 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1220 | 43% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2015-04-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1106.5 vs 1083.7 has a 53.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).