Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (21 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1122 | 42% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1177 | 862 | 86% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 920 | 1152 | 21% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1163 | 953 | 77% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1052 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1045 | 1052 | 49% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1329 | 1058 | 83% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1247 | 1191 | 58% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 972 | 1036 | 41% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1181 | 50% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1329 | 1178 | 70% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1124 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 950 | 834 | 66% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1163 | 25% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1092.1 vs 1068.7 has a 53.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).