Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (21 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1122 | 50% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1145 | 844 | 85% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1151 | 35% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 918 | 1152 | 21% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1151 | 953 | 76% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1051 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 802 | 1131 | 13% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 802 | 88% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1051 | 66% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1333 | 1058 | 83% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1247 | 1203 | 56% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 949 | 1036 | 38% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1196 | 48% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1333 | 1178 | 71% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1125 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 927 | 834 | 63% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1151 | 26% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1088.4 vs 1060.4 has a 54.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).