Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (19 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1121 | 49% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 859 | 87% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1157 | 46% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 1157 | 952 | 76% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1073 | 47% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1132 | 58% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1107 | 1073 | 55% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1310 | 1059 | 81% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1254 | 1187 | 60% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 993 | 1035 | 44% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1170 | 52% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1178 | 68% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1126 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 836 | 72% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1157 | 25% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1121.4 vs 1069.4 has a 57.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).