Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (22 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1127 | 28% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 843 | 86% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 934 | 1121 | 25% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 918 | 1141 | 22% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1121 | 947 | 73% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 969 | 61% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 974 | 1131 | 29% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 974 | 74% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 969 | 58% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1097 | 72% | 2015-04-29 | Won |
| 1234 | 1021 | 77% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1313 | 1070 | 80% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 960 | 1038 | 39% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1199 | 50% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1234 | 1180 | 58% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 997 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1127 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 884 | 834 | 57% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1170 | 46% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 965 | 1121 | 29% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1053.5 has a 54.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).