Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (22 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1123 | 46% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1214 | 843 | 89% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 1088 | 31% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 919 | 1140 | 22% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 946 | 69% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 1045 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1045 | 54% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1249 | 1096 | 71% | 2015-04-29 | Won |
| 1274 | 1015 | 82% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1294 | 1102 | 75% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1064 | 1035 | 54% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1198 | 50% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1274 | 1179 | 63% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1126 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 889 | 835 | 58% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1170 | 46% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1088 | 34% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1099.7 vs 1057.7 has a 56.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).