Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (22 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1123 | 38% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1218 | 843 | 90% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 953 | 1110 | 29% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 919 | 1140 | 22% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 946 | 72% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 1024 | 53% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 979 | 80% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1024 | 50% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1096 | 72% | 2015-04-29 | Won |
| 1253 | 1047 | 77% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1303 | 1058 | 80% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 908 | 1035 | 32% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1199 | 50% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1253 | 1179 | 60% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 997 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1126 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 878 | 835 | 56% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1170 | 46% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1110 | 31% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1089.2 vs 1057.8 has a 54.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).