Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (19 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1139 | 48% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 1181 | 890 | 84% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
| 1139 | 952 | 75% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1087 | 45% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1205 | 25% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1087 | 53% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1311 | 1091 | 78% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1275 | 1109 | 72% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 944 | 1034 | 37% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1152 | 54% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1311 | 1178 | 68% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 944 | 838 | 65% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1057 | 1125 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 979 | 1139 | 28% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1111 vs 1058.5 has a 57.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).