Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1127 | 37% | 2025-04-01 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2023-11-04 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2023-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 947 | 74% | 2020-10-28 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2016-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2015-11-20 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1097 | 70% | 2015-04-29 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1039 | 74% | 2015-02-21 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1097 | 78% | 2015-01-17 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2015-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1234 | 21% | 2015-01-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1180 | 44% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1126 | 28% | 2014-05-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1095.8 vs 1065.5 has a 54.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).