Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (22 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1127 | 36% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1174 | 845 | 87% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1126 | 27% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 918 | 1140 | 22% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 947 | 74% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1143 | 46% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 950 | 1046 | 37% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1097 | 72% | 2015-04-29 | Won |
| 1239 | 1039 | 76% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1313 | 1079 | 79% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1045 | 1038 | 51% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1221 | 47% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1239 | 1180 | 58% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1127 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 956 | 834 | 67% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1170 | 46% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 965 | 1126 | 28% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1098.3 vs 1070.2 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).