Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (19 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1126 | 44% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1137 | 49% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 1210 | 859 | 88% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1137 | 952 | 74% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 976 | 59% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1061 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1107 | 1061 | 57% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1316 | 1076 | 80% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1254 | 1219 | 55% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 957 | 1035 | 39% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1170 | 52% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1316 | 1178 | 69% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1126 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 966 | 836 | 68% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1137 | 28% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1111.5 vs 1067.5 has a 56.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).