Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (20 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (Finnish): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 986 | 62% | 2026-08-19 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-10-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2024-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2023-05-03 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-04-07 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1198 | 33% | 2023-02-09 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2023-02-04 | A | Won |
| 1272 | 1000 | 83% | 2022-12-29 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 2020-04-30 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2020-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-04-01 | | Won |
| 1093 | 1134 | 44% | 2017-12-18 | | Won |
| 1111 | 1218 | 35% | 2017-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1218 | 38% | 2017-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-12-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-10-06 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2016-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-03-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1058.7 has a 50.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).