Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (18 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1112 | 46% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 972 | 1011 | 44% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 972 | 995 | 47% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 946 | 972 | 46% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 1107 | 42% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 972 | 55% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1275 | 1256 | 53% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1177 | 972 | 76% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1191 | 36% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1170 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1219 | 47% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 972 | 960 | 52% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-12-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1069.1 has a 49.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).