Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (Finnish): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 1013 | 75% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
1204 | 952 | 81% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1011 | 1164 | 29% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
1010 | 1204 | 25% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
1160 | 1260 | 36% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
1094 | 1109 | 48% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
1148 | 1284 | 31% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
1010 | 961 | 57% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1111.2 has a 43.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).