Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (17 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1084 | 48% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1181 | 997 | 74% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 943 | 1181 | 20% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 1181 | 27% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1257 | 1255 | 50% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1014 | 48% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1219 | 33% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1219 | 53% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1012 | 959 | 58% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1103.5 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).