Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (9 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
924 | 1058 | 32% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
1016 | 1003 | 52% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
984 | 990 | 49% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
1105 | 1008 | 64% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
1137 | 1115 | 53% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1019.7 vs 1034.3 has a 47.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).