What Doesn’t Kill You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese / British): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1238 | 23% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 1264 | 1303 | 44% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1031 | 44% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 1190 | 900 | 84% | 2022-03-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 1264 | 18% | 2021-03-24 | Won |
| 1097 | 1173 | 39% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1176 | 1060 | 66% | 2018-11-09 | Won |
| 1081 | 1029 | 57% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1071 | 47% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2016-12-13 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1117 | 51% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1102 | 37% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1182 | 44% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1100.6 vs 1121.6 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).