Trouble At Mile Post 27
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (11 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1223 | 19% | 2019-06-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2017-07-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2017-06-27 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 919 | 982 | 41% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-09-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 977.5 vs 1057.2 has a 38.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).