That Damn Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (11 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 803 | 87% | 2026-01-18 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1133 | 44% | 2024-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2023-12-06 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1099 | 30% | 2018-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2018-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-01-28 | | Won |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2016-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2015-08-21 | | Won |
| 1086 | 944 | 69% | | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1031.5 has a 55.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).