Ghostbusters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (27 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (French): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1126 | 51% | 2026-01-24 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1014 | 65% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1016 | 1043 | 46% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1073 | 45% | 2023-08-13 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1176 | 43% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2020-08-01 | Lost |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1101 | 1169 | 40% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 897 | 1056 | 29% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1071 | 48% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1045 | 55% | 2016-10-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1201 | 53% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1059 | 62% | 2016-06-20 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1157 | 42% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1252 | 1144 | 65% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1018 | 55% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 1226 | 1098 | 68% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1173 | 1059 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1125 | 52% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1097 | 918 | 74% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 995 | 1098 | 36% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1226 | 36% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
| 1154 | 1176 | 47% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1018 | 1029 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1126.1 vs 1097.9 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).