First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 26
Defender wins (Slovakian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1101 | 932 | 73% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 930 | 960 | 46% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1071 | 1016 | 58% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 967 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 946 | 995 | 43% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 931 | 964 | 45% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 935 | 1177 | 20% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1084 | 1095 | 48% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1215 | 1069 | 70% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 960 | 65% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1017.4 vs 1016.5 has a 50.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).