First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 30
Defender wins (Slovakian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1097 | 30% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1143 | 904 | 80% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 891 | 992 | 36% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 891 | 58% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1063 | 1057 | 51% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1034 | 64% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1124 | 1152 | 46% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 926 | 1060 | 32% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 1191 | 21% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1050 | 979 | 60% | 2016-02-29 | Won |
| 979 | 1050 | 40% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 1163 | 1101 | 59% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1008 | 1028 | 47% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 947 | 61% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1022.7 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).