First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 26
Defender wins (Slovakian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1195 | 904 | 84% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 1033 | 992 | 56% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1033 | 39% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1062 | 1038 | 53% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 967 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 931 | 1023 | 37% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 975 | 1195 | 22% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1136 | 1096 | 56% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 1024 | 47% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1024 | 964 | 59% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1033.6 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).