First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (14 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 27
Defender wins (Slovakian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 904 | 79% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 1161 | 22% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 1038 | 61% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 967 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 931 | 1058 | 32% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 1219 | 18% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1154 | 1096 | 58% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 1015 | 49% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1014 | 48% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 964 | 57% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1051.6 has a 49.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).