First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (15 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 28
Defender wins (Slovakian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 904 | 79% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 1092 | 992 | 64% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1033 | 62% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1124 | 1148 | 47% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 927 | 1060 | 32% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 1193 | 21% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1153 | 1094 | 58% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1010 | 50% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 963 | 63% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1046.2 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).