First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (19 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 23
Defender wins (Slovakian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1131 | 904 | 79% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 986 | 992 | 49% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1014 | 1057 | 44% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1136 | 1037 | 64% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1034 | 1263 | 21% | 2019-08-25 | Won |
| 1223 | 1141 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1212 | 986 | 79% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 929 | 1128 | 24% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1083 | 34% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2016-02-29 | Won |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1098 | 53% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1007 | 1029 | 47% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1029 | 57% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 932 | 64% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1045.4 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).