Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 930 | 72% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2018-08-08 | Won |
| 1138 | 825 | 86% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1090 | 35% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 1029 | 1125 | 37% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 989 | 1249 | 18% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1077 | 63% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 882 | 74% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1092 vs 1009.2 has a 61.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).