Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 930 | 75% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2018-08-08 | Won |
| 1064 | 826 | 80% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 983 | 1124 | 31% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 954 | 1251 | 15% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1060 | 876 | 74% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1001.2 has a 60.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).