Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1157 | 930 | 79% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
| 1187 | 842 | 88% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
| 966 | 1157 | 25% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1126 | 42% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 977 | 1248 | 17% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1064 | 67% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1110.3 vs 1076.9 has a 54.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).