Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 931 | 79% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2018-08-08 | Won |
| 1194 | 844 | 88% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
| 965 | 1163 | 24% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 1124 | 40% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 950 | 1250 | 15% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1050 | 881 | 73% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1103.8 vs 1011.1 has a 63.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).