Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1137 | 934 | 76% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
1219 | 842 | 90% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
966 | 1137 | 27% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
1061 | 1126 | 41% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
957 | 1248 | 16% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1110.4 vs 1070 has a 55.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).