Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 930 | 78% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2018-08-08 | Won |
| 1203 | 827 | 90% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
| 963 | 1151 | 25% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1125 | 40% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 937 | 1251 | 14% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1063 | 881 | 74% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1099 vs 977 has a 66.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).