Konrad Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1241 | 952 | 84% | 2025-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 912 | 70% | 2025-06-18 | | Won |
| 984 | 1036 | 43% | 2025-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2021-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1020 | 54% | 2021-10-09 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1138 | 47% | 2021-10-09 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-10-06 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-10-06 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2017-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-10-07 | | Won |
| 1164 | 990 | 73% | 2016-07-31 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2016-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-10-09 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1027.3 has a 59.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).