The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (15 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 1074 | 30% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1256 | 756 | 95% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1217 | 24% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 964 | 73% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 980 | 1024 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1132 | 1096 | 55% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1027 | 980 | 57% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1253 | 1420 | 28% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-12-05 | Won |
| 1027 | 1031 | 49% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
| 1027 | 1031 | 49% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1040.9 has a 53.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).