The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (10 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 33
Defender wins (German): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1175 | 804 | 89% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
1016 | 1284 | 18% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
980 | 1087 | 35% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
982 | 1104 | 33% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
1083 | 1026 | 58% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1086.2 vs 1053.1 has a 54.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).