African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 13
Defender wins (British): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1177 | 42% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 909 | 903 | 51% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1177 | 1216 | 44% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1055.7 has a 54.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).