African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (British): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 885 | 59% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 1189 | 42% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 878 | 940 | 41% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1153 | 885 | 82% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1159 | 885 | 83% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1189 | 1219 | 46% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.7 vs 1023 has a 58.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).