Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 264 (42 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 133
Defender wins (German): 130
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1022 | 53% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 896 | 1147 | 19% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 872 | 54% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1147 | 31% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1407 | 1015 | 91% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 994 | 1043 | 43% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 952 | 1106 | 29% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 995 | 947 | 57% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1127 | 969 | 71% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1031 | 40% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1054 | 753 | 85% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1316 | 1073 | 80% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1316 | 904 | 91% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1316 | 1068 | 81% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 1028 | 53% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 842 | 1219 | 10% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1066 | 58% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1117 | 54% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 896 | 65% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1218 | 31% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 949 | 66% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1026 | 1027 | 50% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1088 | 910 | 74% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1316 | 992 | 87% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 966 | 1087 | 33% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 1209 | 33% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1141 | 929 | 77% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1058 | 1148 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1030.5 has a 56.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).