Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 266 (44 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 135
Defender wins (German): 130
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 1025 | 58% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 897 | 1182 | 16% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 870 | 54% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1182 | 27% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1413 | 1015 | 91% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 973 | 1110 | 31% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1044 | 43% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1130 | 979 | 70% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 956 | 1043 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1071 | 747 | 87% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1329 | 1074 | 81% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1329 | 905 | 92% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
| 1329 | 1068 | 82% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1032 | 1028 | 51% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 844 | 1181 | 13% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1067 | 55% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1122 | 56% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 909 | 63% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 985 | 48% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1208 | 30% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 950 | 64% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1027 | 52% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1181 | 961 | 78% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1329 | 992 | 87% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 995 | 70% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 995 | 1143 | 30% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1146 | 929 | 78% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1079 | 1220 | 31% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1219 | 889 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1057 | 1149 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1083.3 vs 1032 has a 57.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).