Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 267 (45 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 144
Defender wins (German): 122
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1026 | 60% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 894 | 1235 | 12% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 941 | 44% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1235 | 35% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1423 | 1015 | 91% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 889 | 1102 | 23% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1018 | 49% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1122 | 979 | 69% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1043 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1159 | 48% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1071 | 755 | 86% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1252 | 1087 | 72% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1252 | 1048 | 76% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1140 | 999 | 69% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1111 | 54% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
| 1252 | 1056 | 76% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 826 | 1102 | 17% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1071 | 54% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1120 | 47% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 985 | 53% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1085 | 76% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 1078 | 953 | 67% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1208 | 31% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 950 | 63% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1089 | 910 | 74% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1027 | 58% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1102 | 931 | 73% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1252 | 993 | 82% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 866 | 1103 | 20% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1176 | 929 | 81% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1046 | 1232 | 26% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1149 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 866 | 80% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1036 has a 56.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).