Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 1228 | 27% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
929 | 929 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
1242 | 897 | 88% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1042 | 1100 | 42% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
970 | 927 | 56% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
913 | 866 | 57% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
973 | 1017 | 44% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
1310 | 1062 | 81% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
1241 | 970 | 83% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
984 | 1125 | 31% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
1125 | 1052 | 60% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
874 | 993 | 34% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1013.8 has a 55.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).