Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1254 | 25% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1243 | 916 | 87% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1112 | 43% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 918 | 866 | 57% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
| 1040 | 959 | 61% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1063 | 83% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
| 1156 | 968 | 75% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1050 | 45% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1050 | 968 | 62% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 872 | 927 | 42% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1007.1 has a 57.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).