The Winter City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (24 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 45
Defender wins (Polish): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1179 | 1183 | 49% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
1197 | 949 | 81% | 2023-11-28 | Won |
1112 | 994 | 66% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
937 | 973 | 45% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
941 | 1052 | 35% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
911 | 953 | 44% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
904 | 919 | 48% | 2021-07-22 | Won |
1032 | 1038 | 49% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
1051 | 1178 | 32% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
959 | 1001 | 44% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
970 | 1108 | 31% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1057 | 1156 | 36% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
1153 | 1175 | 47% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
1009 | 1104 | 37% | 2019-05-13 | Lost |
1055 | 1028 | 54% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
1198 | 948 | 81% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
1198 | 948 | 81% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
1198 | 948 | 81% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
1070 | 1013 | 58% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
1087 | 1008 | 61% | 2016-11-16 | Won |
925 | 1000 | 39% | 2016-04-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
1033 | 1083 | 43% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1037.9 has a 51.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).