Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-02-03 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1078 | 10% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2021-04-10 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-05-18 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-09 | | Won |
| 1090 | 953 | 69% | 2020-03-07 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1066 | 66% | 2019-12-26 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1159 | 32% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1055 | 959 | 63% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 965 | 72% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1133 | 965 | 72% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1258 | 939 | 86% | 2016-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2016-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1025.5 has a 53.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).