Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-02-03 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1059 | 11% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2021-04-10 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2020-05-18 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-09 | | Won |
| 1062 | 953 | 65% | 2020-03-07 | | Won |
| 1177 | 1066 | 65% | 2019-12-26 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1150 | 33% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1045 | 959 | 62% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1289 | 939 | 88% | 2016-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1018.1 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).