Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1088 | 34% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 756 | 1012 | 19% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1227 | 1012 | 78% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1073 | 1030 | 56% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 864 | 878 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 954 | 65% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1064 | 61% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1051 | 1198 | 30% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1024 | 962 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1256 | 938 | 86% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1032 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1015.2 has a 57.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).