Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (15 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 863 | 937 | 40% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 955 | 61% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 1048 | 67% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1091 | 1055 | 55% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1087 | 1009 | 61% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1050 | 63% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 1050 | 63% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 1138 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1076.1 vs 1021.3 has a 57.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).