Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1122 | 51% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 831 | 1041 | 23% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1221 | 1041 | 74% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 862 | 993 | 32% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1125 | 955 | 73% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1168 | 1061 | 65% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1064 | 1241 | 27% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1266 | 938 | 87% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 1131 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1078.1 vs 1021.1 has a 58.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).