Costly Baptism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 175 (60 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 95
Defender wins (Polish): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1038 | 57% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 997 | 1038 | 44% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1016 | 51% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1131 | 47% | 2025-02-07 | Won |
| 896 | 1102 | 23% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
| 909 | 975 | 41% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 932 | 68% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 1004 | 55% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 873 | 951 | 39% | 2023-03-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 957 | 52% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1309 | 1242 | 60% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2021-04-17 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 1061 | 1044 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1062 | 1090 | 46% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1124 | 1176 | 43% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-05-22 | Won |
| 998 | 864 | 68% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
| 954 | 1118 | 28% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1062 | 1142 | 39% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1189 | 31% | 2019-08-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 909 | 70% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 926 | 918 | 51% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1052 | 961 | 63% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2018-04-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 1203 | 32% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1154 | 1109 | 56% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1008 | 1242 | 21% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 902 | 1025 | 33% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 902 | 1025 | 33% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 987 | 1056 | 40% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 909 | 971 | 41% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 964 | 1250 | 16% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1051 | 57% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1233 | 1115 | 66% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 881 | 1044 | 28% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 1122 | 1050 | 60% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 1268 | 13% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 1007 | 64% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
| 1109 | 890 | 78% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 1164 | 1090 | 60% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (42 wins) average ELOs: 1016 vs 1048.4 has a 45.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).