Costly Baptism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (64 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 105
Defender wins (Polish): 73
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 1025 | 984 | 56% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 843 | 966 | 33% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 973 | 66% | 2025-02-07 | Won |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
| 964 | 973 | 49% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1140 | 1030 | 65% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1029 | 993 | 55% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 866 | 950 | 38% | 2023-03-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 955 | 52% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1023 | 986 | 55% | 2023-02-25 | Won |
| 1259 | 1269 | 49% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1220 | 63% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-06-07 | Won |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 964 | 954 | 51% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2021-04-17 | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 1062 | 999 | 59% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1066 | 1154 | 38% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 979 | 957 | 53% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-05-22 | Won |
| 884 | 863 | 53% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1040 | 38% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1066 | 1161 | 37% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1159 | 32% | 2019-08-01 | Lost |
| 1048 | 964 | 62% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 969 | 995 | 46% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2018-04-26 | Won |
| 1080 | 1007 | 60% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1213 | 1106 | 65% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1038 | 47% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 902 | 973 | 40% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 902 | 973 | 40% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 973 | 70% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1041 | 45% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 964 | 972 | 49% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1172 | 1238 | 41% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1251 | 19% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1029 | 1033 | 49% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 986 | 1131 | 30% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 1042 | 1073 | 46% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1234 | 1159 | 61% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 876 | 1080 | 24% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 1121 | 1060 | 59% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 1236 | 15% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1212 | 986 | 79% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
| 1129 | 890 | 80% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1175 | 1036 | 69% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (45 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1045.2 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).