Costly Baptism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (64 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 105
Defender wins (Polish): 73
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1009 | 49% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 993 | 60% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 1025 | 969 | 58% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 973 | 66% | 2025-02-07 | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
| 933 | 973 | 44% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1140 | 999 | 69% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1077 | 1013 | 59% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 855 | 950 | 37% | 2023-03-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 955 | 52% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1023 | 986 | 55% | 2023-02-25 | Won |
| 1259 | 1269 | 49% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1245 | 28% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-06-07 | Won |
| 947 | 933 | 52% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1089 | 944 | 70% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 933 | 954 | 47% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2021-04-17 | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 1202 | 997 | 76% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1065 | 1154 | 37% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 961 | 973 | 48% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2020-05-22 | Won |
| 956 | 863 | 63% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1073 | 33% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 1178 | 34% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1076 | 43% | 2019-08-01 | Lost |
| 1048 | 933 | 66% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1046 | 977 | 60% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2018-04-26 | Won |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1058 | 45% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1243 | 1106 | 69% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1038 | 47% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1245 | 22% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 902 | 986 | 38% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 902 | 986 | 38% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
| 960 | 1113 | 29% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1007 | 1041 | 45% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 933 | 972 | 44% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1239 | 38% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1251 | 23% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1077 | 1033 | 56% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 1073 | 44% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1077 | 1127 | 43% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 875 | 1080 | 24% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 1121 | 1060 | 59% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 1220 | 17% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1045 | 68% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
| 1130 | 890 | 80% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Won |
| 1202 | 1095 | 65% | | Won |
| 1095 | 1017 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (45 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1045.2 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).