Real Steel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (13 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2024-07-05 | Won |
| 1179 | 1415 | 20% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1200 | 30% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 940 | 933 | 51% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 900 | 1011 | 35% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1048 | 74% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 864 | 950 | 38% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2017-11-24 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 1215 | 1118 | 64% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1415 | 14% | 2016-06-06 | Tied |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1099.8 has a 43.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).