A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 15
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1141 | 39% | 2026-03-07 | Won |
| 1119 | 1086 | 55% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1204 | 1051 | 71% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1139 | 34% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1217 | 20% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
| 864 | 878 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 984 | 989 | 49% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 995 | 1116 | 33% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1024 | 56% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1066 has a 44.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).