A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (11 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1099 | 51% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1186 | 1054 | 68% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1118 | 38% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
| 864 | 998 | 32% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1016 | 982 | 55% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 1128 | 36% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1052 | 52% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.5 vs 1071.5 has a 43.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).