A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 18
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1162 | 27% | 2026-03-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1151 | 48% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1029 | 54% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1135 | 45% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
| 863 | 924 | 41% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 969 | 989 | 47% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1046 | 53% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1077.2 has a 41.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).