A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 15
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1154 | 29% | 2026-03-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1094 | 55% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1170 | 1051 | 66% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1135 | 32% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
| 863 | 884 | 47% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 984 | 989 | 49% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1123 | 29% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1067 | 974 | 63% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1015.5 vs 1064.3 has a 43.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).