A Bitter Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (11 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 20
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
980 | 1091 | 35% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
1056 | 1014 | 56% | 2023-03-11 | Tied |
1120 | 979 | 69% | 2021-08-17 | Lost |
1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
953 | 1191 | 20% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
1192 | 1115 | 61% | 2018-05-21 | Lost |
992 | 1172 | 26% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
1093 | 1300 | 23% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
1212 | 938 | 83% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
873 | 1212 | 12% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
1033 | 1137 | 35% | 2016-07-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1109.7 has a 41.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).