Outgunned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 926 | 61% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 939 | 1006 | 40% | 2021-11-06 | Tied |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 1025 | 1127 | 36% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 1017 | 61% | 2018-08-02 | Won |
| 1107 | 987 | 67% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-11-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2016-04-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1097.4 vs 1070.3 has a 53.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).