Outgunned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 928 | 65% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 941 | 1037 | 37% | 2021-11-06 | Tied |
| 1216 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1107 | 1153 | 43% | 2018-08-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 948 | 73% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-11-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-04-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1091 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).