Outgunned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 926 | 56% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 939 | 969 | 46% | 2021-11-06 | Tied |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1064 | 54% | 2018-08-02 | Won |
| 1110 | 988 | 67% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-11-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2016-04-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1089.9 vs 1074.6 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).