Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 1089 | 32% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 1189 | 25% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1256 | 19% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1256 | 1000 | 81% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1132 | 876 | 81% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 889 | 65% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 955 | 79% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 1020.3 has a 49.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).