Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 967 | 937 | 54% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1102 | 67% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1232 | 21% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1002 | 1173 | 27% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1232 | 1002 | 79% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 989 | 56% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1103 | 918 | 74% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 914 | 976 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 935 | 72% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 847 | 858 | 48% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 991 | 64% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1002.9 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).