Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 907 | 965 | 42% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1225 | 1140 | 62% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1218 | 23% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 1173 | 28% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1218 | 1007 | 77% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 848 | 949 | 36% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1091 | 968 | 67% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 911 | 969 | 42% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 935 | 76% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 847 | 855 | 49% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1091 | 948 | 69% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1012.7 has a 52.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).