Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 927 | 940 | 48% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1195 | 55% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1203 | 25% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1173 | 28% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 921 | 72% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 912 | 976 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1195 | 935 | 82% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 847 | 857 | 49% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 865 | 78% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1002.8 has a 53.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).