Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 284 (21 on the archive and 263 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 98
Defender wins (German): 186
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 962 | 52% | 2025-05-14 | | Won |
| 953 | 984 | 46% | 2024-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2024-02-08 | | Won |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2023-08-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2023-08-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 890 | 64% | 2023-01-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-10-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2022-05-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 996 | 49% | 2021-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 996 | 78% | 2021-03-16 | | Won |
| 1172 | 996 | 73% | 2021-03-15 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-03-13 | | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-02-11 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-02-14 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1139 | 32% | 2019-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-08-13 | | Lost |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 995.6 vs 996.4 has a 49.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).