Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (21 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 971 | 58% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
| 809 | 963 | 29% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 914 | 914 | 50% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 971 | 1044 | 40% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 974 | 837 | 69% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 952 | 1083 | 32% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 965 | 907 | 58% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 974 | 1007 | 45% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1007 | 74% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1007 | 72% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
| 1007 | 1064 | 42% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 837 | 960 | 33% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 853 | 937 | 38% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 934 | 67% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 975 | 1071 | 37% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1071 | 53% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 979.4 vs 999.2 has a 47.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).