Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (22 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 953 | 54% | 2025-05-14 | Won |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 994 | 55% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
| 755 | 960 | 24% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 965 | 1135 | 27% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 987 | 875 | 66% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 953 | 1059 | 35% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 936 | 950 | 48% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1010 | 47% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1010 | 80% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1010 | 72% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 931 | 61% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 854 | 860 | 49% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1139 | 32% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1037 | 936 | 64% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 1114 | 31% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1114 | 46% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 980.5 vs 998.2 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).