Silence That Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 432 (33 on the archive and 399 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 163
Defender wins (German): 269
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
979 | 1174 | 25% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
1215 | 1233 | 47% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
920 | 909 | 52% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
916 | 981 | 41% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
909 | 941 | 45% | 2022-06-02 | Lost |
972 | 926 | 57% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
997 | 1015 | 47% | 2021-12-29 | Won |
1186 | 959 | 79% | 2021-12-29 | Won |
1112 | 1027 | 62% | 2021-12-23 | Won |
836 | 944 | 35% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
1027 | 1186 | 29% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
944 | 1198 | 19% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
1076 | 944 | 68% | 2021-02-15 | Lost |
1186 | 1027 | 71% | 2021-02-05 | Lost |
912 | 927 | 48% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
1016 | 1173 | 29% | 2020-11-11 | Won |
943 | 955 | 48% | 2020-09-09 | Lost |
880 | 917 | 45% | 2020-05-19 | Won |
909 | 924 | 48% | 2020-03-19 | Lost |
914 | 853 | 59% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
944 | 836 | 65% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
920 | 909 | 52% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
1142 | 1044 | 64% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
1094 | 912 | 74% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
1159 | 1186 | 46% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
955 | 942 | 52% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
1174 | 879 | 85% | 2017-01-09 | Won |
1046 | 919 | 68% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
1174 | 919 | 81% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
1091 | 1174 | 38% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
1186 | 1186 | 50% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
966 | 931 | 55% | 2015-10-26 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1000 has a 52.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).