Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 248 (20 on the archive and 228 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 132
Defender wins (American): 116
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 998 | 41% | 2025-12-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 965 | 50% | 2025-11-17 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1099 | 57% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 916 | 970 | 42% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1206 | 999 | 77% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 1064 | 55% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1206 | 750 | 93% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 938 | 1003 | 41% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 998 | 963 | 55% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 911 | 1108 | 24% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1055 | 52% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1006 | 891 | 66% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 972 | 50% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 1019 | 891 | 68% | 2017-08-12 | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 884 | 888 | 49% | 2017-04-05 | Won |
| 938 | 1090 | 29% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 938 | 879 | 58% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
| 1095 | 987 | 65% | 2011-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 976.7 has a 54.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).