Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 954 | 58% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 940 | 927 | 52% | 2022-06-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 1065 | 39% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1155 | 53% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 1010 | 49% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 966 | 853 | 66% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1043 | 75% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 974 | 993 | 47% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1055 | 65% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1039 | 58% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 1195 | 39% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1014.5 has a 57.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).