Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2022-06-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1064 | 42% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1155 | 53% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1034 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 955 | 853 | 64% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1043 | 73% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 937 | 60% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1055 | 65% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1040 | 58% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1140 | 46% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1010.3 has a 58.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).