Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (52 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 51
Defender wins (German): 60
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 995 | 47% | 2026-06-25 | | Lost |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-08-15 | | Won |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-12-21 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2024-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2024-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2023-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-11-08 | A | Lost |
| 1138 | 1145 | 49% | 2023-04-13 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1145 | 49% | 2023-04-13 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2023-02-20 | | Won |
| 970 | 1045 | 39% | 2023-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-12-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-09-06 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-08-07 | | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-24 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1048 | 53% | 2022-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-01-26 | | Won |
| 961 | 1017 | 42% | 2021-10-30 | | Won |
| 989 | 1140 | 30% | 2021-09-30 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-09-25 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-09-13 | | Won |
| 1004 | 880 | 67% | 2021-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-07-27 | | Lost |
| 995 | 989 | 51% | 2021-05-31 | | Won |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2021-04-09 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1245 | 1167 | 61% | 2020-09-02 | | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-06-04 | | Won |
| 985 | 1080 | 37% | 2020-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2020-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-04-02 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-04-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2019-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 998 | 61% | 2019-03-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2018-09-02 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-08-29 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-07-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2018-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-09-23 | | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2017-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2016-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-11-17 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-10-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1025.5 has a 52.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).