Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (44 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1046 | 51% | 2024-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 930 | 55% | 2024-01-08 | Won |
| 1144 | 1111 | 55% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1134 | 49% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1089 | 58% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 1089 | 58% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 837 | 837 | 50% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 969 | 1044 | 39% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-09-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 1025 | 53% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 981 | 1040 | 42% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 990 | 1096 | 35% | 2021-09-30 | Won |
| 1144 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1006 | 911 | 63% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 897 | 955 | 42% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 990 | 51% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 1005 | 933 | 60% | 2021-04-09 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1055 | 76% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
| 917 | 943 | 46% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 892 | 917 | 46% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 881 | 930 | 43% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1142 | 40% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 995 | 57% | 2019-04-28 | Won |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 934 | 1046 | 34% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 998 | 56% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
| 933 | 917 | 52% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 930 | 1029 | 36% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 971 | 972 | 50% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 956 | 943 | 52% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 903 | 57% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1073 | 60% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1142 | 40% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1121 | 75% | 2016-11-17 | Won |
| 1091 | 937 | 71% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1010.4 has a 54.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).