Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (52 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 51
Defender wins (German): 59
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 979 | 50% | 2025-08-15 | Won |
| 964 | 1107 | 31% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1015 | 58% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1026 | 53% | 2024-05-15 | Lost |
| 939 | 951 | 48% | 2024-01-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1156 | 50% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1155 | 46% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1130 | 1155 | 46% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 881 | 893 | 48% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1045 | 39% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1026 | 959 | 60% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2022-09-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-09-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1063 | 1048 | 52% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1023 | 49% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 961 | 1086 | 33% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1047 | 1112 | 41% | 2021-09-30 | Won |
| 1144 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 881 | 67% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 897 | 927 | 46% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-04-09 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1075 | 74% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
| 971 | 943 | 54% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 985 | 1065 | 39% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1135 | 998 | 69% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1135 | 998 | 69% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 887 | 951 | 41% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1130 | 42% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 997 | 54% | 2019-04-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1107 | 60% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 1026 | 38% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1050 | 998 | 57% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
| 927 | 971 | 44% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 1135 | 957 | 74% | 2018-08-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 1015 | 41% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 972 | 973 | 50% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 956 | 943 | 52% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1073 | 58% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1130 | 42% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1125 | 77% | 2016-11-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 1107 | 48% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1029.7 has a 52.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).