Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (52 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 51
Defender wins (German): 60
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2025-08-15 | Won |
| 964 | 980 | 48% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1014 | 58% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1049 | 49% | 2024-05-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 1026 | 37% | 2024-01-08 | Won |
| 1163 | 1204 | 44% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1117 | 53% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1139 | 1117 | 53% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 896 | 881 | 52% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1046 | 39% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1049 | 959 | 63% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2022-09-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-09-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1064 | 1048 | 52% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1023 | 49% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 961 | 1065 | 35% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 999 | 1127 | 32% | 2021-09-30 | Won |
| 1144 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 881 | 67% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 897 | 910 | 48% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 989 | 999 | 49% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 945 | 68% | 2021-04-09 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1105 | 70% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
| 971 | 943 | 54% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 985 | 1081 | 37% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 998 | 69% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 998 | 69% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 887 | 1026 | 31% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1139 | 41% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2019-04-28 | Won |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 1049 | 35% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1050 | 998 | 57% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
| 921 | 971 | 43% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 959 | 73% | 2018-08-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 971 | 972 | 50% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 958 | 943 | 52% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1073 | 59% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1139 | 41% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1123 | 68% | 2016-11-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 980 | 65% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1023.8 has a 54.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).