The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (15 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 939 | 46% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 959 | 60% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 879 | 69% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
| 909 | 998 | 37% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
| 1269 | 950 | 86% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 965 | 60% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 1118 | 876 | 80% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 1020 | 60% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 984.5 has a 58.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).