The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (15 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 939 | 45% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1055 | 959 | 63% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1055 | 51% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
| 748 | 877 | 32% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
| 893 | 906 | 48% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
| 909 | 993 | 38% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
| 1264 | 1017 | 81% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
| 1055 | 965 | 63% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 1125 | 878 | 81% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 748 | 88% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.9 vs 953.3 has a 61.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).