The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (15 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1029 | 959 | 60% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
| 924 | 879 | 56% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
| 909 | 927 | 47% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
| 1207 | 947 | 82% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 965 | 59% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 971 | 72% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 924 | 78% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 1070 | 876 | 75% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 924 | 72% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 969.5 has a 59.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).