The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (15 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 965 | 42% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 959 | 64% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1053 | 1058 | 49% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
| 1071 | 881 | 75% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
| 885 | 907 | 47% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
| 908 | 937 | 46% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 968 | 969 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
| 1275 | 947 | 87% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 962 | 63% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 879 | 71% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 1071 | 53% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 989.7 has a 57.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).