Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2024-08-30 | Lost |
| 939 | 911 | 54% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 900 | 900 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 928 | 966 | 45% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 911 | 928 | 48% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 997 | 1050 | 42% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1219 | 1035 | 74% | 2019-05-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 1032 | 58% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1007.4 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).