Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-08-30 | Lost |
| 939 | 909 | 54% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1050 | 1032 | 53% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1017 | 51% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 927 | 998 | 40% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
| 965 | 988 | 47% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1174 | 31% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1146 | 1045 | 64% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1194 | 1035 | 71% | 2019-05-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1090 | 1020 | 60% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
| 1020 | 879 | 69% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1001.4 has a 53.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).