Not Out of the Woods Yet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (13 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1168 | 998 | 73% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 896 | 939 | 44% | 2024-08-28 | Lost |
| 793 | 1000 | 23% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 996 | 918 | 61% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1057 | 72% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1090 | 1219 | 32% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1005 | 53% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1093 | 913 | 74% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-10-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1013.8 has a 51.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).