Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1023 | 47% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 989 | 43% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1058 | 62% | 2022-03-07 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2021-10-27 | Won |
| 830 | 993 | 28% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 934 | 1009 | 39% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 989 | 53% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 991 | 51% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-12-31 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 978.1 has a 58.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).