Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1016 | 52% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 942 | 1005 | 41% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1098 | 57% | 2022-03-07 | Won |
| 932 | 1097 | 28% | 2021-10-27 | Won |
| 826 | 901 | 39% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 1005 | 50% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 989 | 53% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-12-31 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1005.6 has a 55.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).