The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (12 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 962 | 53% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 996 | 983 | 52% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 995 | 969 | 54% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 1052 | 969 | 62% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 853 | 885 | 45% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 961 | 879 | 62% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1083 | 950 | 68% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1016.2 vs 963 has a 57.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).