The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (12 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1004 | 962 | 56% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 1052 | 1063 | 48% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1027 | 72% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 853 | 965 | 34% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1099 | 950 | 70% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1013.6 vs 997.1 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).