The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (12 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 976 | 48% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1004 | 963 | 56% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 940 | 1082 | 31% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 931 | 1045 | 34% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 1051 | 1045 | 51% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 854 | 879 | 46% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 962 | 878 | 62% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 950 | 71% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 976.5 has a 54.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).