The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 925 | 910 | 52% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1052 | 52% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 854 | 998 | 30% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 961 | 879 | 62% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1194 | 951 | 80% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.9 vs 977 has a 56.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).