The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (12 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2025-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2024-12-13 | | Lost |
| 984 | 962 | 53% | 2023-11-04 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1126 | 34% | 2021-11-22 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1036 | 43% | 2021-10-26 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1036 | 52% | 2021-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2021-01-30 | | Lost |
| 963 | 892 | 60% | 2018-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 950 | 74% | 2017-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 986.8 has a 57.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).