Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (30 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1047 | 45% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
1131 | 1132 | 50% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1131 | 1065 | 59% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
1429 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-10-28 | Won |
1024 | 1032 | 49% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
924 | 1171 | 19% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
1176 | 977 | 76% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
1052 | 1063 | 48% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
1013 | 1072 | 42% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
1279 | 1160 | 66% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
1011 | 1068 | 42% | 2020-11-13 | Won |
938 | 1011 | 40% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
1022 | 973 | 57% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
1208 | 1025 | 74% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
998 | 1031 | 45% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
1012 | 1095 | 38% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
1002 | 938 | 59% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
1013 | 973 | 56% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
1046 | 967 | 61% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
1327 | 1169 | 71% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
1003 | 1063 | 41% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
1204 | 881 | 87% | 2016-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1063.7 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).