Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (37 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German (SS)): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 998 | 74% | 2025-04-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2024-11-29 | Won |
| 1032 | 1050 | 47% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 1047 | 48% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1156 | 49% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 1190 | 45% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-09-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-10-28 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
| 920 | 1044 | 33% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 1156 | 1009 | 70% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 909 | 1130 | 22% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1036 | 51% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1156 | 1220 | 41% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 961 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 1079 | 40% | 2020-11-13 | Won |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1006 | 974 | 55% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1214 | 1065 | 70% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1124 | 999 | 67% | 2019-05-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1050 | 43% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 965 | 1163 | 24% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 1071 | 48% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1071 | 48% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1107 | 991 | 66% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1181 | 41% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 987 | 1006 | 47% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
| 909 | 973 | 41% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 976 | 63% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1269 | 1135 | 68% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 987 | 1036 | 43% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
| 1277 | 879 | 91% | 2016-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1060.9 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).