Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (37 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2025-04-16 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-11-29 | Won |
| 1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 1146 | 49% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1139 | 1202 | 41% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2023-09-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2022-10-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-05-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1023.9 vs 1009.2 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).