Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (12 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2026-04-12 | Won |
| 982 | 903 | 61% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1136 | 63% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1005 | 889 | 66% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1035 | 57% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1217 | 869 | 88% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 1024.3 has a 51.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).