Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (10 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
920 | 941 | 47% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
924 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
890 | 885 | 51% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
1109 | 1037 | 60% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
1120 | 1115 | 51% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
1284 | 905 | 90% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1005.3 vs 1040.4 has a 44.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).