Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (4 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 981 | 56% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1342 | 20% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1150 | 1066 | 62% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1122 vs 1137.3 has a 47.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).