Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1009 | 69% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1141 | 924 | 78% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079 vs 989.7 has a 62.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).