Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (4 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1040 | 38% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1344 | 19% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1150 | 1046 | 65% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1110.5 has a 47.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).