Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 904 | 871 | 55% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 871 | 865 | 51% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1087 | 59% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 984 | 755 | 79% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1215 | 1193 | 53% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1024 | 875 | 70% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1151 | 35% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1007 | 63% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1129 | 52% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1080 | 52% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1169 | 968 | 76% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1030.6 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).