Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (18 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 28
Defender wins (Vichy French): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 880 | 63% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 880 | 867 | 52% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1003 | 809 | 75% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 880 | 79% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1055 | 54% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1083 | 44% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 1034 | 43% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1105 | 38% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1017.6 has a 53.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).