Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 21
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1032 | 780 | 81% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
780 | 865 | 38% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
1016 | 1284 | 18% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
1023 | 881 | 69% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
1008 | 982 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
986 | 1051 | 41% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
1008 | 1138 | 32% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
982 | 1008 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
925 | 1000 | 39% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.3 vs 1027 has a 49.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).