Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 872 | 56% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 872 | 865 | 51% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1217 | 24% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1087 | 48% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 990 | 707 | 84% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1164 | 59% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1035 | 875 | 72% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1071 | 46% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1130 | 53% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1080 | 51% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1031 | 50% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1029.7 has a 53.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).