Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (15 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 847 | 73% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 847 | 865 | 47% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1283 | 18% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1017 | 833 | 74% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 881 | 74% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 1051 | 41% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 967 | 1105 | 31% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1078 | 988 | 63% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1032 vs 1007.5 has a 53.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).