The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (32 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 69
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 913 | 917 | 49% | 2025-08-12 | Won |
| 960 | 1052 | 37% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 941 | 63% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 866 | 917 | 43% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1049 | 60% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 1202 | 33% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1029 | 53% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
| 1003 | 806 | 76% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 961 | 1216 | 19% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1031 | 63% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 914 | 991 | 39% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 1034 | 59% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1211 | 1194 | 52% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 1003 | 42% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 897 | 893 | 51% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1082 | 963 | 66% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1174 | 39% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1333 | 944 | 90% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1065 | 1003 | 59% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1282 | 1149 | 68% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1023 | 995 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 940 | 927 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1002 | 77% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1024.9 has a 54.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).