The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (33 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 70
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 888 | 919 | 46% | 2025-08-12 | Won |
| 938 | 1024 | 38% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 962 | 60% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 865 | 919 | 42% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 979 | 1029 | 43% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
| 1032 | 772 | 82% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 961 | 1216 | 19% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1031 | 63% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 925 | 992 | 40% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
| 1095 | 1035 | 59% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1138 | 1058 | 61% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 949 | 1032 | 38% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 897 | 893 | 51% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1081 | 963 | 66% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1173 | 41% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1253 | 937 | 86% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1263 | 1116 | 70% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1225 | 979 | 80% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 1032 | 65% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1256 | 1138 | 66% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1026 | 995 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 941 | 927 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
| 1186 | 922 | 82% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 959 | 1091 | 32% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 1038 | 1065 | 46% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1021.3 has a 54.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).