The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 48
Defender wins (German): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 978 | 58% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 867 | 881 | 48% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
| 1205 | 1011 | 75% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
| 1058 | 801 | 81% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 1211 | 19% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1014 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1011 | 44% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1035 | 61% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1058 | 35% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1065 | 963 | 64% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 897 | 905 | 49% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 1138 | 37% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1311 | 931 | 90% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1034 | 1022 | 52% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1058 | 56% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1190 | 1135 | 58% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1072 | 995 | 61% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 907 | 927 | 47% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
| 1310 | 944 | 89% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 994 | 994 | 50% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1011.5 has a 56.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).