Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1210 | 26% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 959 | 1285 | 13% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1045 | 72% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1109 | 928 | 74% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1210 | 27% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1029 | 58% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1026 | 1038 | 48% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1063.8 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).