Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (20 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1022 | 55% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 953 | 1330 | 10% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1006 | 51% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1020 | 71% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 879 | 805 | 60% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 917 | 43% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 983 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1132 | 52% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1099 | 928 | 73% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1176 | 30% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1002 | 55% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1028 | 1055 | 46% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1083 | 54% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1104 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050.6 vs 1043.4 has a 51.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).