Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (22 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 26
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1091 | 39% | 2026-05-19 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1054 | 53% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1219 | 42% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 1347 | 11% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1066 | 51% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 986 | 79% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 879 | 1030 | 30% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 865 | 872 | 49% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1151 | 907 | 80% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1263 | 23% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1219 | 24% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1097 | 42% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1039 | 1153 | 34% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1005 | 56% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1017 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1094.5 has a 43.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).