The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1048 | 49% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1156 | 45% | 2024-10-27 | Tied |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1320 | 12% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 900 | 885 | 52% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1209 | 993 | 78% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 992 | 69% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 898 | 1181 | 16% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 898 | 1181 | 16% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 861 | 1060 | 24% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1025 | 51% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1055 | 83% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1155 | 62% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1111 | 40% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1082.6 has a 47.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).