The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (24 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 986 | 79% | 2025-11-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1217 | 22% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1145 | 47% | 2024-10-27 | Tied |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1306 | 13% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 872 | 884 | 48% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1030 | 1143 | 34% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 984 | 993 | 49% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1123 | 992 | 68% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1005 | 1045 | 44% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1045 | 44% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 862 | 1153 | 16% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1056 | 71% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1045 | 76% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1128 | 40% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1063.3 has a 51.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).