The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 927 | 50% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1149 | 47% | 2024-10-27 | Tied |
| 1053 | 1063 | 49% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 972 | 1307 | 13% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 937 | 884 | 58% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1086 | 1207 | 33% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 929 | 993 | 41% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1157 | 991 | 72% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 861 | 1038 | 27% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1025 | 54% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1051 | 82% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1165 | 66% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1109 | 41% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1086.3 has a 44.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).