A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2026-01-10 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1217 | 22% | 2025-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-08-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2020-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2020-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2019-04-11 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1147 | 16% | 2019-02-27 | | Won |
| 907 | 950 | 44% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2017-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2017-11-19 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2017-02-17 | | Won |
| 1220 | 1092 | 68% | 2017-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 957 | 66% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1054.1 has a 47.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).