Road to Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (4 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2025-07-12 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1026 | 85% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2020-12-22 | Won |
| 1048 | 1152 | 35% | 2017-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1101.5 vs 1043.5 has a 58.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).