Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 11
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 933 | 66% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2021-08-26 | Won |
| 1115 | 1143 | 46% | 2021-07-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1007 | 59% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1030 | 49% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1140 | 59% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 933 | 64% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 972 | 1030 | 42% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
| 947 | 1342 | 9% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1083.2 vs 1057.6 has a 53.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).